Thoughts about Lockdown:
1. This is not a tool to combat covid, it is a tool to reduce the load of the collapsing medical system, which means saving people's lives.
2. The "let everyone get over it" strategy is good, but vaccines have already appeared, so if there is an opportunity to reduce the risks for people, they need to be reduced.
3. Taking into account the entry into the winter period, the weakening of immunity, the growth of cases will be constant until the spring.
It will decline in the spring. But the medical system will be laid down in January.
4. The lockdown will affect the economy, the income of citizens, and production. Regardless of the time of introduction. But lockdown is different.
5. In particular, studies show that ventilated transport is less dangerous for the transmission of the virus (the same metro).
6. No matter what time we choose for the lockdown, there will always be those who are against it.
7. From the point of view of logic and mathematics, the earlier the lockdown, the better the long-term effect.
8. In Ukraine today, out of 37 million people, up to 2% have been ill, according to statistics. Subjectively, in my environment more than 10%-15%
The best tactic, in my opinion , is to reduce the load and wait for vaccination.
9. Today there are several lockdown scenarios:
a) just today to introduce, but for the summer holidays and events to open everything (with the understanding that in the fall there will be growth again and there will be another lockdown).
b) Lockdown for the whole summer (small businesses will suffer, but there will be a sharp decrease in the rate of spread of covid and you can do without about lockdown.
Any scenario is possible and I do not envy the Prime Minister, whatever he chooses, he will be hated and made extreme in everything, as in the absence of a lockdown.
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