Why did this happen?

The strike was precipitated by attacks by pro-Iranian groups on American facilities and US allies in the region. Washington declared its "right to self-defense", and the strikes became a demonstration of strength and determination. But in politics, such actions are never just a response - they are a signal, a strategy, and an attempt to regain control of the situation.

The main question: will there be a war?

So far, both sides have avoided a direct conflict. The US does not want a big war in an election year, and Iran - in the conditions of sanctions and internal instability - cannot afford a full-scale clash. But the "proxy war" has been going on for a long time - through groups in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Lebanon. And now it may intensify.

Who will benefit from the conflict?

Israel - receives US support and weakens pro-Iranian forces in the region.

Saudi Arabia - may strengthen its alliance with the US and gain more influence.

Russia and China - will take advantage of instability to increase their own influence in Iran and other countries in the region.

And who will lose?
The civilian population of Syria, Iraq and Yemen - they are the ones who become victims of all "spot strikes".

The Iranian economy - any strikes hit infrastructure, logistics and increase sanctions pressure.

Global oil market - instability in the region can sharply raise prices and create a chain reaction around the world.

What does this mean for the future?
A new wave of instability: conflicts will become more local, but there will be more of them.

Radicalization: growing anti-US sentiment, growing support for extremist groups.

Alliance reshuffling: Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Israel, Iraq — everyone will start to reconsider their position and choose who to be with next.

Will diplomacy have the last word?

As long as the parties have not crossed the "point of no return", there is still a chance to freeze the conflict. But to do this, we need not just to cool down, but to reconsider the entire security architecture in the Middle East. And this is a task that will take more than one year.

Conclusion: the US strikes on Iran are not an isolated incident, but part of a global chess game, where the stakes are not only oil and influence, but also the stability of the entire world. We are entering a new stage of the Middle East game. And it has no guaranteed winner.